Analysis of Early GOP Primary Voters’ Political and Policy Preferences

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Key Findings from Manhattan Institute Poll of Likely 2024 Republican Presidential Primary Voters

The Manhattan Institute recently conducted a poll among likely 2024 Republican presidential primary and caucus voters in key states, including Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina. The results shed light on the ideological orientation and issue prioritization of the GOP base, as well as the state of the race for the nomination.

The poll revealed that Republican voters in these states are more conservative on newer cultural debates surrounding race and gender than on traditional social issues like abortion and gun rights. Despite this, issues like immigration and the economy remain top priorities for GOP voters. The data also indicated that the 2024 nomination is currently in favor of former President Donald Trump, although Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is a strong contender as well.

Interestingly, the poll showed that a significant portion of voters are open to changing their minds about their preferred candidate. While Trump leads the field, DeSantis holds a higher net favorability rating among Republicans. The race for the nomination is not set in stone, and early leads may not guarantee victory.

The poll also delved into voters’ views on Russia/Ukraine, military spending, economic policy, crime, guns, culture, abortion, and immigration. Overall, the results provide valuable insights into the priorities and preferences of likely Republican primary voters in these crucial states.

For more detailed results of the poll, you can access the full report [here](https://media4.manhattan-institute.org/wp-content/uploads/Manhattan-Institute_July-GOP-Primary-Toplines.pdf). It’s clear that the 2024 Republican presidential nomination race is shaping up to be a competitive and dynamic contest, with key issues and candidate preferences playing a significant role in shaping the outcome.

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